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About This Page: This is a discussion on Baseball within the LetsGoKings.com forums, at Los Angeles Kings Hockey Fan Forum. Originally Posted by DanteHicks
Since when is a 75% success rate "breaking even?"
Sigh...
The Numbers Guy : Increasingly in Baseball, Stealing Pays
"Remarkably, that suggests that even this year,
"Remarkably, that suggests that even this year, with the highest success rate ever, teams are on the whole hurting themselves by attempting to steal bases, with individual teams above the 75% mark getting a net benefit from the running game. Still, though, if one sees the goal of managing as minimizing mistakes, then the approach to break-even is a promising sign."
Or, if someone else wants to handle this in greater detail (I'm sure there are several posters right now chomping at the bit over this little gem), go for it. I frankly am getting tired of explaining this ****.
"Remarkably, that suggests that even this year, with the highest success rate ever, teams are on the whole hurting themselves by attempting to steal bases, with individual teams above the 75% mark getting a net benefit from the running game. Still, though, if one sees the goal of managing as minimizing mistakes, then the approach to break-even is a promising sign."
Or, if someone else wants to handle this in greater detail (I'm sure there are several posters right now chomping at the bit over this little gem), go for it. I frankly am getting tired of explaining this ****.
Thanks, I looked at the article. Last I read it was 2/3, now they're saying 3/4 (which btw over his career, Pierre is still doing for those who really like him - so far in a very small sample this year he's at 90%.). The comments were also interesting should you care to check them out.
It's still a simplistic, albeit interesting, breakdown of a situation that has a lot more nuance than this analysis covers. That's why I like watching games and not just reading box scores.
__________________ I'm not even supposed to be here today!
Not sure, I don't think he has been hurt as he looked fine yesterday. Part of it might be the handful of lefties we've seen over the last few days, I know Pierre is a lefty as well, so I don't know if that really flies.
Looking at the stats, career wise Ethier has been just ok against lefties: .287/.333./.389. And this year he has struggled thus far: .143/.273/.143.
So that could be a possible reason.
Juan Pierre's numbers vs lefties are pretty much the same as his vs righties career wise:
.302/.348/.344
This year he has been unreal versus lefties
.474/.545/.474
__________________ "11:19 -- You're not gonna believe this, but J.D. Drew took a called third strike to end the inning.
(Note: Dodgers, Braves and Cardinals fans everywhere are nodding and saying, "Yup ... been there, done that.")
In case you missed the subtext, you sound ridiculous.
People who think stats are not important are ridiculous. People who think playing hard and bringing emotion and energy are not important are ridiculous.
I like making fun of all of them. Nothing personal. What else is there to do on a Dodgers thread on a Kings board when there's nothing going on?
FlyBoeingJets
